The Moody's economist Mark Zandi is worried the US is barreling toward a recession, pegging the chances of a downturn at ...

Stable but elevated” isn't something you want to hear in a medical checkup or in a recession likelihood outlook.

The global financial services company said "hard data" was pointing to a prolonged period of difficulty for the U.S. economy.

The Fed is likely to issue a 25-basis-point rate cut this week. Options are pricing in a nearly 1% move in the S&P 500 on the ...

Traders in the federal-funds-futures market saw an increased chance of three potential interest-rate cuts by the Federal ...

The world is full of uncertainty: accidents, storms, unruly financial markets, noisy communications. The world is also full of data. Probabilistic modeling and the related field of statistical ...

There is a 96 percent probability of a 25-basis point (i.e., 0.25 percent) rate cut announcement on Wednesday and a 4 percent chance of a “jumbo” 50-basis point cut.

Polymarket data reflects a 48% chance of Donald Trump launching a coin before the election with a betting amount of $1.12 million. A crypto trader believes that the launch has a strong probability of ...