We elaborate on an alternative representation of conditional probability to the usual tree diagram. We term the representation “turtleback diagram” for its resemblance to the pattern on turtle shells.

When more than one event takes place a tree diagram can be used to find all the possible outcomes. This tree diagram shows all the possible outcomes and their probabilities for tossing a coin and for ...

ABSTRACT: In decision modeling with influence diagrams, the most challenging task is probability elicitation from domain experts. It is usually very difficult for experts to directly assign precise ...

When a patient receives a positive test result from a diagnostic test they assume they have the disease. However, the positive predictive value (PPV), ie the probability that they have the disease ...